On October 19th, the 3rd China Men's Wear Summit Forum was held in Ningbo, Zhejiang. The forum was hosted by China Garment Association and Ningbo Municipal People's Government. China Men's Wear Professional Committee, Ningbo Economic and Information Commission, Ningbo Huabo Conference Exhibition Co., Ltd. undertakes.

Deputy director of the China Textile Industry Association Industry, Industrial Economics Research vice president Liu Xin to be speeches, Liu Xin following is the speech Record:

Liu Xin, deputy director of the Industry Department of the China National Textile and Apparel Council and vice president of the Industrial Economic Research Institute: Dear leaders, I am very honored to be in Ningbo. Han has been associated with Ningbo for 15 years. I am here for the first time in Ningbo. I am here to share with you the trends and outlook of our textile industry in 2017.

I came to the 3rd China Men's Wear Summit Forum, not only to share the operation of the textile industry, but also to share the market trade situation of men's wear and domestic men's wear data that we have faced in the past few years, and then look at us throughout 2017. The situation of the industry's operating trends.

Last week we just ended our meeting in Shanghai and formed a basic judgment on the operation of the first three quarters of 2017, which is to stabilize the market and lead the quality. I share with you from the production, investment, export , domestic market, and quality performance indicators to share our situation from January to August.

From January to August 2017, the growth rate of industrial added value of our industry is 5.1%. These years are continuing to slow down. It is judged by industry sector that the value-added growth rate of the apparel industry is 6.3% this year, which is higher than the industry level. It will also be lower than the entire industrial level. In recent years, it has been mainly due to the slowening of the domestic market environment, the weak international market environment, the fluctuation of the domestic raw material market, and the adjustment of many domestic textile companies in the international industrial layout, and many other reasons, which have caused us to slow down in the performance of data. .

Analysis of the industrial chain From the front to the end we have selected four key products, the first is the yarn, the second is the cloth, the third is the chemical fiber, and the third is the clothing. As you can see, the front column is very high and the back is getting lower, but the situation is better than last year. Our key products in the industry have already bid farewell to the era of rapid growth and entered the level of low-speed development, but from January to August 2017. The performance of the data has to stabilize from the growth rate of production in 2016. Focusing on the performance of investment, the picture on the left is the overall size of the investment. The picture on the right is the change of investment growth in recent years. It is very similar to production. Our investment scale has been expanding over the years, but the investment growth rate is also continuing to decline. The latest data, from January to August 2017, completed an investment of more than 800 billion, a year-on-year growth rate of 6:10, the growth rate in 2011 was close to 40%, and now less than 10%. This low-speed investment growth rate also reflects that our industry is stabilizing and developing in a large environment. Corporate investment is also becoming cautious, and enterprises have some adjustments in the investment field.

Look at the structure of the investment area. In the past, our investment was a trend of shifting to the central and western regions. The latest data shows that the investment transfer trend is not very obvious. The investment growth rate in the main eastern and central regions from January to August 2017 is slightly more important than the previous year. The recovery in the western region is mainly due to the attraction of policy investment in Xinjiang. The cotton textile sector has a relatively large investment scale in Xinjiang, but the number of investment enterprises is still a clothing sector.

The data in the industry is divested. Due to the multi-channel operation, we have very limited data on omni-channel data. We also have this contradiction when collecting data analysis market. Here we have to use two pieces of stripped data, one is traditional. The offline retail sector, the other is the online new consumer sector.

First look at the traditional retail sector offline. From January to August 2017, the retail sales of clothing above designated size increased by 7.3% year-on-year, which is lower than the growth rate of retail sales of consumer goods. In the growth category of the total retail sales of clothing, the products of clothing are also consumed. The lower end of the growth rate, the lower two, one jewel is a car. Overall, in these sectors, we are currently relatively slow in the retail sector. In addition, it is the online and online sector. In 2015, the National Bureau of Statistics has continuous data on the growth rate of online retail sales of statistical apparel products. It is compiled and shared with you. Over the years, our e-commerce channel has grown rapidly, 2017. From January to August, the online clothing category grew by nearly 20%, which was higher than last year. The Ministry of Commerce released a data in 2016. The e-commerce transaction volume reached 22 trillion, of which the online retail sales amounted to 5.16 trillion. In the past few years, the e-commerce transaction field has been very frequent and active. To sum up, we have sorted out domestic online data and offline data. Although the traditional retail channels have slowed down, online performance can compensate for the slowdown of offline channels. Comprehensive judgment shows that the domestic retail market is still stable.

International market, the United States compete in the global clothing imports from structural changes, and the Chinese are Vietnam, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, the United States can be seen in the clothing market these years we share declined, the country is increased competition of.

EU market over the years, in fact, his trading activity within the Union stronger, 2017 to June 1 outside the Union imports of textiles and clothing rose 1.46, of which imports accounted for the proportion of the overall textile and apparel garment clothing proportion close to 75%. We used to be more than 40% in the EU. Now, with the fierce competition in the EU market, our import share is now more than 30 points. The share of Vietnam and Bangladesh in the EU market has increased rapidly.

The Japanese market is affected by his economic downturn. The decline in the scale of global imports is still quite obvious. From January to July, global imports can maintain a growth rate of 0.46%. In fact, it is not easy. The Japanese market has the highest proportion in China. %, the proportion of the Japanese market in these years has continued to decline by only 64.61%.

General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized the key points of the “ Belt and Road ” construction in the report of the 19th National Congress yesterday, taking into account the introduction and going out . We have also compiled the export situation of “Belt and Road” textile and garment. From January to August 2017, China’s exports of “Belt and Road” accounted for 33% of global exports, up from the previous year.

Yesterday at the 19th National Congress, the participation of African journalists was also very high, reflected in the field of textiles and clothing, and the speed of Africa was also very fast. From January to August 2017, the share of African textile and apparel exports was second only to the share of exports to Japan. Originally, our key markets were the European Union, the United States, and Japan. Later, ASEAN was added. Now that Africa accounts for only Japan, we will pay more attention to textile and apparel exports from Africa.

The above is the export market.

Take a look at our quality performance indicators.

The profit income and main business income growth are all above 8%, and the profit rate and turnover rate have improved compared with the previous year. We think this group of indicators is better to look at, better than investment and production indicators. The performance indicator is leading, and the whole industry is stable.

Let's take a look at the changes in the menswear market in recent years.

EU men's clothing imports. The peak of EU clothing imports is in 2015. The peak of men's clothing imports is 2016. In 2016, the number of men's clothing imported was nearly 20 billion euros, a slow increase of 0.64% year-on-year. The following is the classification he made. Overall, the wovens accounted for about 77%.

Take a look at the US market. This is the case of the global import of men's clothing in the United States. The import of men's clothing has expanded in recent years, but the size of men's clothing imports has declined in 2016, and this year has been slowing down. The growth rate of men's clothing imports in the United States reached more than 15 points in 2010, and decreased by 0.64 in 2016.

Japanese market. Over the years, our men’s wear has also been very high. More than 50% of global imports are from men’s wear in China. The top five are China, Vietnam, Myanmar, Bangladesh, and Indonesia, accounting for 58.02% of men’s imports from the world. . We sort out our exports of men's clothing to the world, whether it is knitting or woven the United States is the largest market. The above is the market situation of exports.

Domestic market. In 2016, the pressure on the domestic market for men's wear is still relatively large. Since 2017, whether it is export performance or domestic sales performance in key markets, it is still relatively stable. In summary, the operation of the first three quarters, the performance of men's wear in recent years, we will continue to stabilize the industry in 2017, business income will remain at around 8%.

The above is my share with everyone, thank you!